Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 6.292679e-05 0.000075 0.000089 0.000104 0.000121 0.000140 0.000161
2025-04-06 4.556194e-05 0.000061 0.000079 0.000101 0.000128 0.000158 0.000194
2025-04-13 3.787759e-05 0.000055 0.000076 0.000103 0.000136 0.000175 0.000223
2025-04-20 2.931579e-05 0.000046 0.000069 0.000098 0.000136 0.000183 0.000242
2025-04-27 2.443059e-05 0.000042 0.000065 0.000098 0.000141 0.000194 0.000264
2025-05-04 2.049416e-05 0.000038 0.000062 0.000098 0.000145 0.000206 0.000287
2025-05-11 1.823461e-05 0.000036 0.000062 0.000100 0.000154 0.000222 0.000315
2025-05-18 1.584597e-05 0.000033 0.000060 0.000101 0.000159 0.000236 0.000340
2025-05-25 1.274710e-05 0.000029 0.000056 0.000098 0.000158 0.000240 0.000353
2025-06-01 1.048528e-05 0.000026 0.000052 0.000095 0.000159 0.000246 0.000368
2025-06-08 8.822836e-06 0.000024 0.000050 0.000095 0.000162 0.000254 0.000386
2025-06-15 7.627578e-06 0.000022 0.000049 0.000095 0.000166 0.000265 0.000408
2025-06-22 6.185584e-06 0.000020 0.000047 0.000094 0.000169 0.000275 0.000430
2025-06-29 4.786737e-06 0.000017 0.000043 0.000092 0.000169 0.000282 0.000447
2025-07-06 4.057845e-06 0.000016 0.000043 0.000093 0.000175 0.000296 0.000476
2025-07-13 2.958284e-06 0.000014 0.000039 0.000089 0.000173 0.000298 0.000487
2025-07-20 2.359627e-06 0.000013 0.000038 0.000088 0.000176 0.000308 0.000509
2025-07-27 1.879426e-06 0.000011 0.000036 0.000088 0.000179 0.000318 0.000532
2025-08-03 1.640538e-06 0.000011 0.000036 0.000091 0.000187 0.000336 0.000566
2025-08-10 1.351278e-06 0.000010 0.000036 0.000091 0.000192 0.000349 0.000594
2025-08-17 9.345069e-07 0.000009 0.000033 0.000088 0.000190 0.000351 0.000605
2025-08-24 6.629664e-07 0.000008 0.000031 0.000086 0.000190 0.000356 0.000621
2025-08-31 4.840437e-07 0.000007 0.000030 0.000085 0.000192 0.000364 0.000641